Abstract

The study comprises previsional estimates for the Romanian economy in 2001 using the "Dobrescu" macromodel of the Romanian transition economy. The main economic indicators are monthly estimated for 2001 simulating a Rational Scenario and a Quasi-Lax Scenario. The indicators are: gross domestic product, domestic aggregate demand, export of goods and services, import of goods and services, foreign trade surplus or deficit, unemployment rate, current gross domestic product deflator and consumer price index.

Key words: forecasting, macroeconomic indicators, simulation scenarios.
JEL Classification: E27, E37, E50