by
Caraiani,
Petre
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, volume 8 issue 1,
2007
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In this study I make an estimation of the Solow model for the
Romanian economy.
Starting from the estimates of the parameters from other
studies, I simulate the model both for the 1990-2004 period and in the long run.
The study shows that the Solow model provides a good approximation of the
dynamics of the Romanian economy for the 1990-2004 period, with respect to the
dynamics of the aggregate GDP and to the ratios of the main macroeconomic
variables, like production per worker, capital-output ratio or capital per
worker. The simulation for the 2030 time horizon indicates a potential of growth
of over 3%.
Keywords:
economic growth, productivity, transition.