by Besancenot, Damien
and Vrânceanu, Radu
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting,
2010, volume 13 issue 1, 5-20
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This paper analyzes banks’ communication policies in crisis times and the role of
imperfect information in enhancing banks' financial distress. If banks differ in their
exposure to dubious assets, fragile banks may claim to be sound only in order to
manipulate investors' expectations. Then sound banks must pay a larger interest rate
than in a perfect information set-up. A stronger sanction for false information would
improve the situation of the low-risk banks but would deteriorate the situation of the
high-risk banks. The total effect on the economy-wide frequency of default of credit
institutions is ambiguous. It can be shown that, in some cases, the optimal sanction is
lower than the sanction that rules out any manipulatory behavior.
Keywords:
financial distress, financial crisis, banks, disclosure, transparency
JEL Classification: