by Purica, Ionut
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting,
2008, volume 9 issue 2, 121-128
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by Purica, Ionut
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting,
2008, volume 9 issue 2, 121-128
|
| Requires a PDF viewer such as Xpdf
or Adobe
Acrobat Reader 214Kb |
Migration becomes a more and more significant process that triggers various types of complex behavior. After analyzing the process, especially with regard to the occurrence of nonlinear behavior, a model is build to include the features that may lead to the occurrence of cycles of migration reverse. The results of a simulation are showing patterns of behavior similar to the Italian case of large ex-migrations in the fifties that were reversed in mid seventies. A set of potential applications on migration from newly entrant countries in the EU to EU-15 is possible especially related to actions that may speed up the moment of migration cycle reverse.
Keywords:
nonlinear, migration, cycles, complexity
JEL Classification:
C5, D4