Metropolitan Maquiladora Econometric Forecast Accuracy

by Thomas M. Fullerton,  Jr. & George Novela
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting
, 2010, volume 13 issue 3, 124-140

 Requires a PDF viewer such as Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader


Maquiladora in-bond manufacturing activities occupy positions of collective importance within many regional economies across Mexico. To date, empirical evidence regarding the predictability of maquiladora activities in Mexico has not been attempted. To partially fill that gap in the literature, two sets of in-bond industry econometric forecasts for metropolitan economies in Northern Mexico are analyzed. Empirical results indicate that accurate forecasts of metropolitan maquiladora variables may prove elusive. 

Keywords: Regional Maquiladora Forecasting
JEL Classification:
M21, R15