by ANDREICA,
Marin
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, volume 7 issue 1,
2006.
Requires a PDF viewer such as Xpdf
or Adobe
Acrobat Reader 105Kb |
The problem of forecasting the economic systems' activity over a large time horizon is the main concern of both the researchers in the economic field and the system managers. In most cases, its solving is reduced to simulating the structure of the economic indicators which render the system activity. Usually, a certain mode of structuring the indicators is supposed and the functional and statistical correlations among the indicators is considered as previously known (according to certain tolerances).
Keywords: forecasting, model, statistical correlations, factorial analysis
JEL Classification: C1, C53, P11