by Dobrescu, Emilian
& Gaftea, Viorel & Scutaru, Cornelia
Published in Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting,
2010, volume 13 issue 2, 176-187
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The study presents in the first chapter the applied methodology and the data used for
the empirical research. The economic activities were grouped into 10 sectors by
aggregating the extended input-output tables for Romania (with 105 branches). The
chosen reference year is 2007 - the last year for which such statistical recordings
were available.
The second chapter examines some of the Romanian economy’s structural features
revealed by the matrices A and (I-A)-1, insisting on the driving effects of
interdependencies (direct and indirect) generated by cross-sector productive flows.
The third chapter focuses on the impact of gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) upon
the output. On the one hand, the implications of changes in volume are estimated (for
example, data on 2007 are recalculated for a variation of +/-5% in the GFCF). On the
other hand, the influence of the sectoral structure of the indicator in question is
quantified with the help of three different macroeconomic simulations. Further possible
developments of the current investigation are discussed at the end of the paper.
Keywords:
input-output analysis, multipliers, macroeconomic simulations
JEL Classification: